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NSW Elections 1984 to 1991: A Comparative Analysis

NSW Elections 1984 to 1991: A Comparative Analysis

Advice on legislation or legal policy issues contained in this paper is provided for use in parliamentary debate and for related parliamentary purposes. This paper is not professional legal opinion.
Background Paper 02/1994 by Antony Green

‚ÄčThe book is made up of a number of parts. Chapter 2 examines the 1984 NSW election, and re-calculates the results to conform with the boundaries used at the 1988 and 1991 elections.

Chapter 3 repeats the format, assessing the 1988 election, examining the swings between 1984 and 1988, and analysing the effect of the 1991 redistribution. Chapter 4 examines the 1991 election, and looks at the swings between 1 988 and 1991. It also examines the swings between 1984 and 1991, and suggests that 1984 is a more appropriate base from which to compare the 1991 election.

Chapter 5 looks at the effect of electoral boundaries on the fortunes of the political parties. Its conclusion points to the Labor Party's gaining significant advantage from the operation of these boundaries in 1984 and 1988, but not in 1991. It also questions the use of 2-party preferred results for examining NSW election results.

Chapter 6 examines the extraordinary rise in informal voting at the 1991 election. As the chapter shows, the evidence points directly to confusion in the formality criteria as the primary cause of the increase in the informal vote.