2013 New South Wales Redistribution: Analysis of Draft Electoral Boundaries

This publication contains an assessment of the political impact of the draft electoral boundaries for New South Wales, released on Monday 17 June 2013. The draft boundaries are now open for public comments, with the Electoral Districts Commission set to finalise the redistribution later this year. Final boundaries will apply from the 2015 election.

It must be stressed that this publication does not provide predictions for the 2015 election. The estimated margins provided in this publication are best thought of as possible results of the 2011 election had that election been fought on the draft boundaries. The estimates cannot take into account the difference in candidate and campaign effort that would have occurred if the 2011 election had been fought on the new boundaries. The difficulty of splitting polling place catchment areas to match new electoral boundaries, as well as allocating declaration votes to new electorates, means the estimated margins should be treated as approximations.

Advice on legislation or legal policy issues contained in this paper is provided for use in parliamentary debate and for related parliamentary purposes. This paper is not professional legal opinion.