2023 New South Wales election: Analysis of results (with data supplement)
In this paper election expert Antony Green provides a detailed analysis of the results of the 2023 New South Wales election. The paper includes summaries of the results in all lower house electoral districts, comparisons with the 2019 election, and statistical analysis of results and swings across districts and regions. A summary of the 2021 redistribution is included along with by-elections since 2019. Overall first preference results for the Legislative Council are provided, along with a summary of the distribution of preferences.
The paper is accompanied by an Excel spreadsheet version of the key data tables for both the Legislative Assembly (LA) and Legislative Council (LC), including:
- LA summary of first preference vote by electorate
- LA 2-party and 2-candidate preferred results, including swings, by electorate
- LA first and final count results (and 2-party preferred where relevant) by candidate, including swings
- LC group totals, including swings
- LC first preference results for each candidate and party or group
- LC incidence of above- and below-the-line voting
Antony Green, BSc, BEc(Hons)
Chief Election Analyst, Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Research Paper 7, 2025
First published: 26 June 2023 as Research Paper 11, 2023.
Version 2 published: 22 December 2025 as Research Paper 7, 2025.*
*Version 2 of this paper was updated to include a data supplement of the key data tables for both the Legislative Assembly (LA) and Legislative Council (LC), and corrections to page 14.