2023 New South Wales election: Analysis of results
This paper has been updated by Research Paper 7, 2025 to include a data supplement.
In this paper election expert Antony Green provides a detailed analysis of the results of the 2023 New South Wales election. The paper includes summaries of the results in all lower house electoral districts, comparisons with the 2019 election, and statistical analysis of results and swings across districts and regions. A summary of the 2021 redistribution is included along with by-elections since 2019. Overall first preference results for the Legislative Council are provided, along with a summary of the distribution of preferences.
Antony Green, BSc, BEc(Hons)
Chief Election Analyst, Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Research Paper 11, 2023
Chief Election Analyst with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, Antony Green has worked for the ABC on every state and federal election coverage since 1989. Antony studied at University of Sydney obtaining a Bachelor of Science in mathematics and computing, and a Bachelor of Economics with Honours in politics. He is an Adjunct Professor in the Department of Government and International Relations at the University of Sydney.
First published: 26 June 2023 as Research Paper 11, 2023.
Version 2 published: 22 December 2025 as Research Paper 7, 2025.*
*Version 2 of this paper was updated to include a data supplement of the key data tables for both the Legislative Assembly (LA) and Legislative Council (LC), and corrections to page 14.